본문

서브메뉴

Essays on Financial Stability- [electronic resource]
Essays on Financial Stability - [electronic resource]
Essays on Financial Stability- [electronic resource]

상세정보

자료유형  
 학위논문파일 국외
최종처리일시  
20240214100435
ISBN  
9798379906184
DDC  
310
저자명  
Puria, Kovid.
서명/저자  
Essays on Financial Stability - [electronic resource]
발행사항  
[S.l.]: : University of Washington., 2023
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses,, 2023
형태사항  
1 online resource(102 p.)
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-01, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Zivot, Eric.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2023.
사용제한주기  
This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.
초록/해제  
요약This dissertation studies covered interest parity, global dollar funding conditions, and the predictability of future financial crises using recent global data on the foreign exchange derivatives market and a historical macrofinancial database.The first chapter examines how demand for FX swaps impacts persistent deviations from CIP. Using a novel dataset on FX swaps from the CLS Group, I analyze the factors driving CIP deviations across multiple interest rates and tenors. Specifically, I focus on non-bank demand for FX swaps and examine heterogeneity across industries and currency pairs. I estimate that on average, a 1% increase in FX swap volume results in a 2% widening of the CIP basis. As a result, a persistent dollar financing premium allows us to better understand why CIP does not hold in the data.The second chapter extends on the first and analyzes the price impact of FX order flow for swaps and outright forwards. I find evidence of the substitution channel: market participants who draw on swap lines reduce demand for dollars via the FX swap and forward market. In times of financial stress, such as the COVID-19 Pandemic, swap lines can be beneficial by providing cross-border liquidity. During quarter-ends, demand rises and price makers adjust prices to adjust for higher order flow. The third chapter studies the impacts balance sheet ratios on the probability of banking crises. I utilize the Jorda-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory Database to predict crises over a longer sample period incorporating macroprudential target ratios. I supplement these results using machine learning models in order to model non-linear relationships and decompose crisis probabilities using the Shapley value approach. I find that the Loan-To-Deposit ratio is a robust predictor of financial crises and outperforms other variables proposed in the literature, such as overall credit growth, asset price growth, or the yield curve.
일반주제명  
Statistics.
일반주제명  
Finance.
키워드  
Financial stability
키워드  
Interest parity
키워드  
Dollar funding
키워드  
Financial crises
기타저자  
University of Washington Economics
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 85-01B.
기본자료저록  
Dissertation Abstract International
전자적 위치 및 접속  
로그인 후 원문을 볼 수 있습니다.

MARC

 008240612s2023      us  |||||||||||||||c||eng  d
■001000016932258
■00520240214100435
■006m          o    d                
■007cr#unu||||||||
■020    ▼a9798379906184
■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI30490616
■040    ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820  ▼a310
■1001  ▼aPuria,  Kovid.
■24510▼aEssays  on  Financial  Stability▼h[electronic  resource]
■260    ▼a[S.l.]:▼bUniversity  of  Washington.  ▼c2023
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor  :▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses,  ▼c2023
■300    ▼a1  online  resource(102  p.)
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  85-01,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Zivot,  Eric.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  Washington,  2023.
■506    ▼aThis  item  must  not  be  sold  to  any  third  party  vendors.
■520    ▼aThis  dissertation  studies  covered  interest  parity,  global  dollar  funding  conditions,  and  the  predictability  of  future  financial  crises  using  recent  global  data  on  the  foreign  exchange  derivatives  market  and  a  historical  macrofinancial  database.The  first  chapter  examines  how  demand  for  FX  swaps  impacts  persistent  deviations  from  CIP.  Using  a  novel  dataset  on  FX  swaps  from  the  CLS  Group,  I  analyze  the  factors  driving  CIP  deviations  across  multiple  interest  rates  and  tenors.  Specifically,  I  focus  on  non-bank  demand  for  FX  swaps  and  examine  heterogeneity  across  industries  and  currency  pairs.  I  estimate  that  on  average,  a  1%  increase  in  FX  swap  volume  results  in  a  2%  widening  of  the  CIP  basis.  As  a  result,  a  persistent  dollar  financing  premium  allows  us  to  better  understand  why  CIP  does  not  hold  in  the  data.The  second  chapter  extends  on  the  first  and  analyzes  the  price  impact  of  FX  order  flow  for  swaps  and  outright  forwards.  I  find  evidence  of  the  substitution  channel:  market  participants  who  draw  on  swap  lines  reduce  demand  for  dollars  via  the  FX  swap  and  forward  market.  In  times  of  financial  stress,  such  as  the  COVID-19  Pandemic,  swap  lines  can  be  beneficial  by  providing  cross-border  liquidity.  During  quarter-ends,  demand  rises  and  price  makers  adjust  prices  to  adjust  for  higher  order  flow. The  third  chapter  studies  the  impacts  balance  sheet  ratios  on  the  probability  of  banking  crises.  I  utilize  the  Jorda-Schularick-Taylor  Macrohistory  Database  to  predict  crises  over  a  longer  sample  period  incorporating  macroprudential  target  ratios.  I  supplement  these  results  using  machine  learning  models  in  order  to  model  non-linear  relationships  and  decompose  crisis  probabilities  using  the  Shapley  value  approach.  I  find  that  the  Loan-To-Deposit  ratio  is  a  robust  predictor  of  financial  crises  and  outperforms  other  variables  proposed  in  the  literature,  such  as  overall  credit  growth,  asset  price  growth,  or  the  yield  curve.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0250.
■650  4▼aStatistics.
■650  4▼aFinance.
■653    ▼aFinancial  stability
■653    ▼aInterest  parity
■653    ▼aDollar  funding
■653    ▼aFinancial  crises
■690    ▼a0501
■690    ▼a0510
■690    ▼a0508
■690    ▼a0463
■71020▼aUniversity  of  Washington▼bEconomics.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g85-01B.
■773    ▼tDissertation  Abstract  International
■790    ▼a0250
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2023
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T16932258▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.
■980    ▼a202402▼f2024

미리보기

내보내기

chatGPT토론

Ai 추천 관련 도서


    신착도서 더보기
    최근 3년간 통계입니다.

    소장정보

    • 예약
    • 소재불명신고
    • 나의폴더
    • 우선정리요청
    • 비도서대출신청
    • 야간 도서대출신청
    소장자료
    등록번호 청구기호 소장처 대출가능여부 대출정보
    TF08362 전자도서 마이폴더 부재도서신고 비도서대출신청

    * 대출중인 자료에 한하여 예약이 가능합니다. 예약을 원하시면 예약버튼을 클릭하십시오.

    해당 도서를 다른 이용자가 함께 대출한 도서

    관련 인기도서

    로그인 후 이용 가능합니다.