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Capital Flows and the Making of Risky Currencies
Capital Flows and the Making of Risky Currencies
Capital Flows and the Making of Risky Currencies

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20250211151103
ISBN  
9798382775166
DDC  
658
저자명  
Fu, Zhiyu.
서명/저자  
Capital Flows and the Making of Risky Currencies
발행사항  
[Sl] : The University of Chicago, 2024
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2024
형태사항  
142 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 85-12, Section: A.
주기사항  
Advisor: Kaplan, Greg;Koijen, Ralph.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Chicago, 2024.
초록/해제  
요약A currency is considered risky if it depreciates during downturns. I show that currency risk is caused by foreign capital flows induced by heterogeneous responses of foreign and domestic investors to global shocks. I establish that foreign flows are "flighty": foreign investors withdraw capital in response to negative news. Empirically, currency risk appears to play a limited role at most in driving this flightiness. However, consistent with an explanation based on heterogeneous beliefs, I find that foreign forecasts react more strongly to news, and their returns are relatively lower. Motivated by these findings, I develop a model in which foreign investors update their beliefs more strongly to negative shocks, creating flighty foreign flows. In the model, the relative flightiness of a country's external liabilities and external assets determines its currency risk. That is, if foreign holdings of domestic assets respond more to global shocks than do domestic holdings of foreign assets, the country's currency is risky (and vice versa for safe currencies). Based on this, I construct a model-informed measure, "net asset flightiness"-the difference between external assets and liabilities weighted by their specific flightiness, which I show strongly correlates with currency risk.
일반주제명  
Finance
키워드  
Capital flows
키워드  
Currency risk
키워드  
Exchange rates
키워드  
Foreign forecasts
키워드  
Safe currencies
기타저자  
The University of Chicago Economics and Business
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 85-12A.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■040    ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820  ▼a658
■1001  ▼aFu,  Zhiyu.
■24510▼aCapital  Flows  and  the  Making  of  Risky  Currencies
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bThe  University  of  Chicago▼c2024
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2024
■300    ▼a142  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  85-12,  Section:  A.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Kaplan,  Greg;Koijen,  Ralph.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--The  University  of  Chicago,  2024.
■520    ▼aA  currency  is  considered  risky  if  it  depreciates  during  downturns.  I  show  that  currency  risk  is  caused  by  foreign  capital  flows  induced  by  heterogeneous  responses  of  foreign  and  domestic  investors  to  global  shocks.  I  establish  that  foreign  flows  are  "flighty":  foreign  investors  withdraw  capital  in  response  to  negative  news.  Empirically,  currency  risk  appears  to  play  a  limited  role  at  most  in  driving  this  flightiness.  However,  consistent  with  an  explanation  based  on  heterogeneous  beliefs,  I  find  that  foreign  forecasts  react  more  strongly  to  news,  and  their  returns  are  relatively  lower.  Motivated  by  these  findings,  I  develop  a  model  in  which  foreign  investors  update  their  beliefs  more  strongly  to  negative  shocks,  creating  flighty  foreign  flows.  In  the  model,  the  relative  flightiness  of  a  country's  external  liabilities  and  external  assets  determines  its  currency  risk.  That  is,  if  foreign  holdings  of  domestic  assets  respond  more  to  global  shocks  than  do  domestic  holdings  of  foreign  assets,  the  country's  currency  is  risky  (and  vice  versa  for  safe  currencies).  Based  on  this,  I  construct  a  model-informed  measure,  "net  asset  flightiness"-the  difference  between  external  assets  and  liabilities  weighted  by  their  specific  flightiness,  which  I  show  strongly  correlates  with  currency  risk.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0330.
■650  4▼aFinance
■653    ▼aCapital  flows
■653    ▼aCurrency  risk
■653    ▼aExchange  rates
■653    ▼aForeign  forecasts
■653    ▼aSafe  currencies
■690    ▼a0508
■690    ▼a0501
■71020▼aThe  University  of  Chicago▼bEconomics  and  Business.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g85-12A.
■790    ▼a0330
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2024
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17160701▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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