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Rare-Event Analysis for Heavy-Tailed Systems With Applications in Statistical Learning and Simulation
Rare-Event Analysis for Heavy-Tailed Systems With Applications in Statistical Learning and...
Rare-Event Analysis for Heavy-Tailed Systems With Applications in Statistical Learning and Simulation

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20250211152131
ISBN  
9798384015819
DDC  
658
저자명  
Wang, Xingyu.
서명/저자  
Rare-Event Analysis for Heavy-Tailed Systems With Applications in Statistical Learning and Simulation
발행사항  
[Sl] : Northwestern University, 2024
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2024
형태사항  
309 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 86-02, Section: A.
주기사항  
Advisor: Rhee, Chang-Han.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--Northwestern University, 2024.
초록/해제  
요약Heavy-tailed phenomena arise naturally in a variety of stochastic systems in fields such as mathematical finance, operations research, and machine learning, capturing the extreme variability where large shocks occur more often than typically expected. This dissertation develops a theoretical framework for rare-event analysis in heavy-tailed systems and provides applications in statistical learning and simulation. Specifically, we focus on the power-law (i.e., regularly varying) type of heavy tails and develop a framework that connects large deviations and metastability analysis for heavy-tailed dynamical systems. The results characterize the catastrophe principle that reveals a discrete hierarchy governing the causes and probabilities of a wide variety of rare events associated with heavy-tailed stochastic difference/differential equations, and unveil an intriguing phase transition in the local stability of stochastic dynamics under truncated heavy tails. Building upon this framework, we then provide a sharp characterization of the global dynamics of heavy-tailed stochastic gradient descents. In the context of deep learning, our results lead to a tail-inflation-and-truncation training strategy that improves the generalization performance of deep neural nets. Additionally, we propose a highly efficient rare-event simulation algorithm for heavy-tailed systems and address the computationally challenging cases where the underlying process exhibits infinite activities. In the last chapter, we discuss future research directions.
일반주제명  
Industrial engineering
일반주제명  
Applied mathematics
키워드  
Mathematical finance
키워드  
Heavy-tailed systems
키워드  
Stochastic systems
키워드  
Rare-event analysis
기타저자  
Northwestern University Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 86-02A.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■1001  ▼aWang,  Xingyu.
■24510▼aRare-Event  Analysis  for  Heavy-Tailed  Systems  With  Applications  in  Statistical  Learning  and  Simulation
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bNorthwestern  University▼c2024
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2024
■300    ▼a309  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  86-02,  Section:  A.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Rhee,  Chang-Han.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--Northwestern  University,  2024.
■520    ▼aHeavy-tailed  phenomena  arise  naturally  in  a  variety  of  stochastic  systems  in  fields  such  as  mathematical  finance,  operations  research,  and  machine  learning,  capturing  the  extreme  variability  where  large  shocks  occur  more  often  than  typically  expected.  This  dissertation  develops  a  theoretical  framework  for  rare-event  analysis  in  heavy-tailed  systems  and  provides  applications  in  statistical  learning  and  simulation.  Specifically,  we  focus  on  the  power-law  (i.e.,  regularly  varying)  type  of  heavy  tails  and  develop  a  framework  that  connects  large  deviations  and  metastability  analysis  for  heavy-tailed  dynamical  systems.  The  results  characterize  the  catastrophe  principle  that  reveals  a  discrete  hierarchy  governing  the  causes  and  probabilities  of  a  wide  variety  of  rare  events  associated  with  heavy-tailed  stochastic  difference/differential  equations,  and  unveil  an  intriguing  phase  transition  in  the  local  stability  of  stochastic  dynamics  under  truncated  heavy  tails.  Building  upon  this  framework,  we  then  provide  a  sharp  characterization  of  the  global  dynamics  of  heavy-tailed  stochastic  gradient  descents.  In  the  context  of  deep  learning,  our  results  lead  to  a  tail-inflation-and-truncation  training  strategy  that  improves  the  generalization  performance  of  deep  neural  nets.  Additionally,  we  propose  a  highly  efficient  rare-event  simulation  algorithm  for  heavy-tailed  systems  and  address  the  computationally  challenging  cases  where  the  underlying  process  exhibits  infinite  activities.  In  the  last  chapter,  we  discuss  future  research  directions.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0163.
■650  4▼aIndustrial  engineering
■650  4▼aApplied  mathematics
■653    ▼aMathematical  finance
■653    ▼aHeavy-tailed  systems
■653    ▼aStochastic  systems
■653    ▼aRare-event  analysis
■690    ▼a0546
■690    ▼a0364
■690    ▼a0796
■690    ▼a0454
■71020▼aNorthwestern  University▼bIndustrial  Engineering  and  Management  Sciences.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g86-02A.
■790    ▼a0163
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2024
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17163070▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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