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Robust Inference and Interpretability in Complex Statistical Models: From Model Distillation to Targeted Learning
Robust Inference and Interpretability in Complex Statistical Models: From Model Distillati...
Robust Inference and Interpretability in Complex Statistical Models: From Model Distillation to Targeted Learning

상세정보

자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202103113
ISBN  
9798288861864
DDC  
574
저자명  
Zhou, Yunzhe.
서명/저자  
Robust Inference and Interpretability in Complex Statistical Models: From Model Distillation to Targeted Learning
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of California, Berkeley, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
171 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-01, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Hooker, Giles;van der Laan, Mark.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of California, Berkeley, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약This dissertation introduces statistical methods aimed at ensuring robust inference and stable interpretability in complex models. A key challenge in modern statistical learning is the lack of transparency in predictive models, whose interpretations can be unreliable or inconsistent-particularly in the presence of finite-sample variability or model uncertainty. To address this, I develop a general framework for reproducible model distillation, which constructs interpretable student models from black-box predictors while providing statistical guarantees on the stability of the resulting explanations. In addition, the dissertation highlights the significant potential of applying targeted learning methods to non-causal estimands, with a focus on explainable AI and mathematical ecology. Targeted learning offers a robust framework for bias correction, uncertainty quantification, and model selection in these settings. Specifically, I investigate uncertainty quantification for variable importance using the targeted learning framework, improving inference in small-sample regimes. I also develop efficient estimators for long-term population dynamics by applying targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) to integral projection models in ecology. Furthermore, I extend the infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) to estimate covariances between model predictions, enabling principled comparisons across model classes and ensembles.
일반주제명  
Biostatistics
일반주제명  
Statistics
일반주제명  
Mathematics
키워드  
Robust inference
키워드  
Interpretability
키워드  
Targeted learning
키워드  
Infinitesimal jackknife
키워드  
Targeted maximum likelihood estimation
기타저자  
University of California, Berkeley Biostatistics
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-01B.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■1001  ▼aZhou,  Yunzhe.
■24510▼aRobust  Inference  and  Interpretability  in  Complex  Statistical  Models:  From  Model  Distillation  to  Targeted  Learning
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  California,  Berkeley▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a171  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-01,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Hooker,  Giles;van  der  Laan,  Mark.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  California,  Berkeley,  2025.
■520    ▼aThis  dissertation  introduces  statistical  methods  aimed  at  ensuring  robust  inference  and  stable  interpretability  in  complex  models.  A  key  challenge  in  modern  statistical  learning  is  the  lack  of  transparency  in  predictive  models,  whose  interpretations  can  be  unreliable  or  inconsistent-particularly  in  the  presence  of  finite-sample  variability  or  model  uncertainty.  To  address  this,  I  develop  a  general  framework  for  reproducible  model  distillation,  which  constructs  interpretable  student  models  from  black-box  predictors  while  providing  statistical  guarantees  on  the  stability  of  the  resulting  explanations.  In  addition,  the  dissertation  highlights  the  significant  potential  of  applying  targeted  learning  methods  to  non-causal  estimands,  with  a  focus  on  explainable  AI  and  mathematical  ecology.  Targeted  learning  offers  a  robust  framework  for  bias  correction,  uncertainty  quantification,  and  model  selection  in  these  settings.  Specifically,  I  investigate  uncertainty  quantification  for  variable  importance  using  the  targeted  learning  framework,  improving  inference  in  small-sample  regimes.  I  also  develop  efficient  estimators  for  long-term  population  dynamics  by  applying  targeted  maximum  likelihood  estimation  (TMLE)  to  integral  projection  models  in  ecology.  Furthermore,  I  extend  the  infinitesimal  jackknife  (IJ)  to  estimate  covariances  between  model  predictions,  enabling  principled  comparisons  across  model  classes  and  ensembles.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0028.
■650  4▼aBiostatistics
■650  4▼aStatistics
■650  4▼aMathematics
■653    ▼aRobust  inference
■653    ▼aInterpretability
■653    ▼aTargeted  learning
■653    ▼aInfinitesimal  jackknife
■653    ▼aTargeted  maximum  likelihood  estimation
■690    ▼a0308
■690    ▼a0800
■690    ▼a0405
■690    ▼a0463
■71020▼aUniversity  of  California,  Berkeley▼bBiostatistics.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-01B.
■790    ▼a0028
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17356994▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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