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From Data Gaps to Risk Maps: Evaluating Risk to Essential Services Access in Data-Scarce Communities
From Data Gaps to Risk Maps: Evaluating Risk to Essential Services Access in Data-Scarce C...
From Data Gaps to Risk Maps: Evaluating Risk to Essential Services Access in Data-Scarce Communities

상세정보

자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202105213
ISBN  
9798291564875
DDC  
910
저자명  
Pagan Cajigas, Zaira P.
서명/저자  
From Data Gaps to Risk Maps: Evaluating Risk to Essential Services Access in Data-Scarce Communities
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of Michigan, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
209 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-02, Section: A.
주기사항  
Advisor: Guikema, Seth David.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Michigan, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약Communities depend on essential services, such as water, electricity, communication, health care, food, and education, to sustain daily life and for their development. However, these services are increasingly vulnerable to disruption from natural hazards. Disruptions in these services can lead to significant cascading failures, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations and exacerbating existing inequities. This dissertation addresses the need for fine-scale, data-driven methods to assess disaster risk and its impact on essential service access in a way that is scalable and practical for data-scarce environments. This work presents four key contributions through the integration of operations research, risk analysis, and spatial modeling. First, it offers a set of criteria to evaluate and refine the conceptual foundation of existing frameworks developed to identify critical services and infrastructure, emphasizing the importance of local-level context. Second, it introduces a novel method for generating synthetic water distribution systems using publicly available data, enabling hydraulic analysis without proprietary utility datasets. Third, it evaluates projected power outage risks under a 3°C global warming scenario using seven global climate models, identifying regions with strong model agreement on increased outage risk. Finally, I present the AccES framework, developed to quantify building-level loss of access to essential services following disasters. The framework incorporates interdependencies among essential services and leverages open-source data to assess spatial inequities in post-disaster accessibility within the study area. This work aims to support more informed and inclusive decision-making in resilience planning, particularly in underserved or data-constrained communities. The methodologies developed in this dissertation align with international resilience goals and contribute to operationalizing people-centered disaster risk reduction strategies at the local level.
일반주제명  
Geography
일반주제명  
Area planning & development
일반주제명  
Environmental science
일반주제명  
Public administration
키워드  
Data gaps
키워드  
Risk maps
키워드  
Data scarcity
키워드  
Essential services access
기타저자  
University of Michigan Industrial & Operations Engineering
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-02A.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■0820  ▼a910
■1001  ▼aPagan  Cajigas,  Zaira  P.
■24510▼aFrom  Data  Gaps  to  Risk  Maps:  Evaluating  Risk  to  Essential  Services  Access  in  Data-Scarce  Communities
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  Michigan▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a209  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-02,  Section:  A.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Guikema,  Seth  David.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  Michigan,  2025.
■520    ▼aCommunities  depend  on  essential  services,  such  as  water,  electricity,  communication,  health  care,  food,  and  education,  to  sustain  daily  life  and  for  their  development.  However,  these  services  are  increasingly  vulnerable  to  disruption  from  natural  hazards.  Disruptions  in  these  services  can  lead  to  significant  cascading  failures,  disproportionately  affecting  vulnerable  populations  and  exacerbating  existing  inequities.  This  dissertation  addresses  the  need  for  fine-scale,  data-driven  methods  to  assess  disaster  risk  and  its  impact  on  essential  service  access  in  a  way  that  is  scalable  and  practical  for  data-scarce  environments.  This  work  presents  four  key  contributions  through  the  integration  of  operations  research,  risk  analysis,  and  spatial  modeling.  First,  it  offers  a  set  of  criteria  to  evaluate  and  refine  the  conceptual  foundation  of  existing  frameworks  developed  to  identify  critical  services  and  infrastructure,  emphasizing  the  importance  of  local-level  context.  Second,  it  introduces  a  novel  method  for  generating  synthetic  water  distribution  systems  using  publicly  available  data,  enabling  hydraulic  analysis  without  proprietary  utility  datasets.  Third,  it  evaluates  projected  power  outage  risks  under  a  3°C  global  warming  scenario  using  seven  global  climate  models,  identifying  regions  with  strong  model  agreement  on  increased  outage  risk.  Finally,  I  present  the  AccES  framework,  developed  to  quantify  building-level  loss  of  access  to  essential  services  following  disasters.  The  framework  incorporates  interdependencies  among  essential  services  and  leverages  open-source  data  to  assess  spatial  inequities  in  post-disaster  accessibility  within  the  study  area.  This  work  aims  to  support  more  informed  and  inclusive  decision-making  in  resilience  planning,  particularly  in  underserved  or  data-constrained  communities.  The  methodologies  developed  in  this  dissertation  align  with  international  resilience  goals  and  contribute  to  operationalizing  people-centered  disaster  risk  reduction  strategies  at  the  local  level.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0127.
■650  4▼aGeography
■650  4▼aArea  planning  &  development
■650  4▼aEnvironmental  science
■650  4▼aPublic  administration
■653    ▼aData  gaps
■653    ▼aRisk  maps
■653    ▼aData  scarcity
■653    ▼aEssential  services  access
■690    ▼a0796
■690    ▼a0366
■690    ▼a0768
■690    ▼a0617
■690    ▼a0341
■71020▼aUniversity  of  Michigan▼bIndustrial  &  Operations  Engineering.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-02A.
■790    ▼a0127
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17359784▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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