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Sustainable Transit Through Public Agency Leadership: Policies, Economics, and AI
Sustainable Transit Through Public Agency Leadership: Policies, Economics, and AI
Sustainable Transit Through Public Agency Leadership: Policies, Economics, and AI

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202105123
ISBN  
9798293847990
DDC  
385
저자명  
Cai, Mingming.
서명/저자  
Sustainable Transit Through Public Agency Leadership: Policies, Economics, and AI
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of Washington, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
153 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-03, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Shen, Qing.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약This dissertation integrates three empirical studies to advance planning and decision-making for Transit-oriented Development (TOD) and Transit-Incorporating Mobility-on-Demand (TIMOD) services led by public agencies in regional growth centers and low-density areas. The first study develops a multi-criteria tool to prioritize TOD on public land through a suitability assessment. The tool incorporates 14 indicators across five domains, including public transit service, land use, sociodemographics, real estate market conditions, and planning context. It is applied under three development scenarios: affordable housing, market-rate housing, and mixed-use development. This tool enables public agencies to strategically leverage land assets to support transit-supportive and equitable development.The second study evaluates the comparative cost-effectiveness of TIMOD relative to fixed-route transit, driving, and commercial ride-hailing services in low-density settings. A comprehensive social cost estimation framework is employed, incorporating traveler and service provider costs alongside transportation externalities. Findings indicate that TIMOD generally incurs higher social costs than other mobility alternatives due to its higher operating costs, while it provides time-cost savings and improved access for travelers in areas with limited fixed-route transit coverage. These insights inform more nuanced subsidy strategies and service deployment models for underserved populations in such contexts.The third study develops a context-aware probabilistic spatiotemporal graph neural network (CA-STPGNN) to predict sparse demand for TIMOD services and quantify the associated uncertainty in low-density areas. The model integrates contextual information, temporal features, and multi-task learning as regularization to capture spatiotemporal dependencies in TIMOD trip patterns. Using data from real-world TIMOD programs in Washington State, the proposed model demonstrates superior predictive accuracy and uncertainty estimation compared with traditional approaches, while also revealing spatial heterogeneity in the influence of spatial and temporal features. This model can be applied to predict TIMOD demand in regions lacking observed data, thereby supporting public agencies in design and implementing cost-effective mobility solutions in low-density contexts.Together, these three studies contribute adaptive tools, empirical evidence, and methodological innovations to support equitable, efficient, and context-sensitive transportation and land use planning in low-density contexts.
일반주제명  
Transportation
일반주제명  
Land use planning
키워드  
On-demand mobility
키워드  
Public transportation
키워드  
Social cost of travel
키워드  
Transit-oriented Development
키워드  
Travel demand prediction
키워드  
Uncertainty modeling
기타저자  
University of Washington Urban Design and Planning
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-03B.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■006m          o    d                
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■020    ▼a9798293847990
■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI32238508
■040    ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820  ▼a385
■1001  ▼aCai,  Mingming.
■24510▼aSustainable  Transit  Through  Public  Agency  Leadership:  Policies,  Economics,  and  AI
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  Washington▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a153  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-03,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Shen,  Qing.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  Washington,  2025.
■520    ▼aThis  dissertation  integrates  three  empirical  studies  to  advance  planning  and  decision-making  for  Transit-oriented  Development  (TOD)  and  Transit-Incorporating  Mobility-on-Demand  (TIMOD)  services  led  by  public  agencies  in  regional  growth  centers  and  low-density  areas.  The  first  study  develops  a  multi-criteria  tool  to  prioritize  TOD  on  public  land  through  a  suitability  assessment.  The  tool  incorporates  14  indicators  across  five  domains,  including  public  transit  service,  land  use,  sociodemographics,  real  estate  market  conditions,  and  planning  context.  It  is  applied  under  three  development  scenarios:  affordable  housing,  market-rate  housing,  and  mixed-use  development.  This  tool  enables  public  agencies  to  strategically  leverage  land  assets  to  support  transit-supportive  and  equitable  development.The  second  study  evaluates  the  comparative  cost-effectiveness  of  TIMOD  relative  to  fixed-route  transit,  driving,  and  commercial  ride-hailing  services  in  low-density  settings.  A  comprehensive  social  cost  estimation  framework  is  employed,  incorporating  traveler  and  service  provider  costs  alongside  transportation  externalities.  Findings  indicate  that  TIMOD  generally  incurs  higher  social  costs  than  other  mobility  alternatives  due  to  its  higher  operating  costs,  while  it  provides  time-cost  savings  and  improved  access  for  travelers  in  areas  with  limited  fixed-route  transit  coverage.  These  insights  inform  more  nuanced  subsidy  strategies  and  service  deployment  models  for  underserved  populations  in  such  contexts.The  third  study  develops  a  context-aware  probabilistic  spatiotemporal  graph  neural  network  (CA-STPGNN)  to  predict  sparse  demand  for  TIMOD  services  and  quantify  the  associated  uncertainty  in  low-density  areas.  The  model  integrates  contextual  information,  temporal  features,  and  multi-task  learning  as  regularization  to  capture  spatiotemporal  dependencies  in  TIMOD  trip  patterns.  Using  data  from  real-world  TIMOD  programs  in  Washington  State,  the  proposed  model  demonstrates  superior  predictive  accuracy  and  uncertainty  estimation  compared  with  traditional  approaches,  while  also  revealing  spatial  heterogeneity  in  the  influence  of  spatial  and  temporal  features.  This  model  can  be  applied  to  predict  TIMOD  demand  in  regions  lacking  observed  data,  thereby  supporting  public  agencies  in  design  and  implementing  cost-effective  mobility  solutions  in  low-density  contexts.Together,  these  three  studies  contribute  adaptive  tools,  empirical  evidence,  and  methodological  innovations  to  support  equitable,  efficient,  and  context-sensitive  transportation  and  land  use  planning  in  low-density  contexts.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0250.
■650  4▼aTransportation
■650  4▼aLand  use  planning
■653    ▼aOn-demand  mobility
■653    ▼aPublic  transportation
■653    ▼aSocial  cost  of  travel
■653    ▼aTransit-oriented  Development
■653    ▼aTravel  demand  prediction
■653    ▼aUncertainty  modeling
■690    ▼a0709
■690    ▼a0536
■690    ▼a0501
■690    ▼a0800
■71020▼aUniversity  of  Washington▼bUrban  Design  and  Planning.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-03B.
■790    ▼a0250
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17359467▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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