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A Methodology for R&D Portfolio Management Decision Making Under Uncertainty - Applied Towards Timely Reallocation of Investments with Stalling Projects
A Methodology for R&D Portfolio Management Decision Making Under Uncertainty - Applied Tow...
A Methodology for R&D Portfolio Management Decision Making Under Uncertainty - Applied Towards Timely Reallocation of Investments with Stalling Projects

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202105518
ISBN  
9798263341114
DDC  
658.4063
저자명  
Hong, Alicia.
서명/저자  
A Methodology for R&D Portfolio Management Decision Making Under Uncertainty - Applied Towards Timely Reallocation of Investments with Stalling Projects
발행사항  
[Sl] : Georgia Institute of Technology, 2024
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2024
형태사항  
285 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-05, Section: A.
주기사항  
Advisor: Mavris, Dimitri N.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--Georgia Institute of Technology, 2024.
초록/해제  
요약Portfolio Management is a critical process in Research and Development (R&D) organizations that has been widely credited for determining which strategic investments to make. Throughout the last forty years, well established best practices in financial portfolio management have been adapted to improve R&D investment decisions. With the critical role that R&D plays in revenue sustainment, improvements in R&D portfolio management have been a continued area of focus. Strategic project selection, in particular, has been the focus of many studies aimed at creating high-value and robust portfolios. However, in order to maintain a high-value portfolio, portfolio managers must adopt an exit strategy to pivot from stalling projects to ideas with higher potential value. Current decision-making practices may utilize traditional metrics such as value, budget, and schedule which provide some insights into R&D projects. However, these metrics may not provide adequate awareness of the productivity in R&D spending, which can lead to prolonged funding of projects that are not progressing. Metrics such as value or increasing value trends can also motivate continued funding for projects when there is high potential to disrupt the industry. Furthermore, uncertainty, a typical characteristic of R&D projects, contributes to the challenges in understanding project outcomes, resulting in decision paralysis. This dissertation will explore the effectiveness of a new visibility tool to provide insights into the productivity of R&D spending for the purpose of motivating portfolio managers to terminate stalling projects.This study is broken into two phases. The first phase involved collecting responses through a portfolio management computer simulation which established a baseline for the experiment. Participants played the role of a portfolio manager, dispositioning each project through a twelve-month period. Two variations of the simulations were created; one specifically for the aerospace community and the other with more general project titles. A comparison between the two sets of results showed small differences in responses to perpetuate stalled projects. The data collected was combined to use as an aggregate baseline data set used to generate the supplemental visibility tool. The productivity threshold was created from the boundary of successful projects in Phase 1. This analysis involved assessing project's remaining risk in relation to sunk cost. This visualization tool was implemented in Phase 2 to determine the effectiveness of the additional productivity insights.The next phase of the study included the Productivity Threshold view into the same simulation dashboard from Phase 1. As participants progressed through the simulation, historical risk and sunk cost project data was provided in addition to the current project status. This allowed participants to understand the productivity trajectory by utilizing budgets to reduce risks, as well as insights provided by traditional metrics. The threshold further provided awareness of the boundary of historically successful projects. The combination of the threshold and historical project path was intended to trigger a closer look at stalling projects and provide a basis for pivoting to new ideas. The effectiveness of the productivity threshold view is discussed in this dissertation along with more detailed analyses based on key simulation factors and demographics. Analyses also included interactions with simulation factors to identify key combinations of factors that were most effective. A post simulation survey captured insights from participants to supplement the analyses in proving the effectiveness of the threshold. The survey also captured comments that identified simulation bias and learning curve effects. This dissertation contributes to best practices in R&D portfolio management by proving that additional insights in R&D productivity directly contribute to strategic decisions to reduce investments in stalling projects.
일반주제명  
Innovations
일반주제명  
Motivation
일반주제명  
Investments
일반주제명  
Success
일반주제명  
Funding
일반주제명  
Decision making
일반주제명  
Computer simulation
일반주제명  
Research & development--R&D
일반주제명  
Technology
일반주제명  
Aerospace engineering
일반주제명  
Pharmaceutical sciences
기타저자  
Georgia Institute of Technology.
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-05A.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■1001  ▼aHong,  Alicia.
■24512▼aA  Methodology  for  R&D  Portfolio  Management  Decision  Making  Under  Uncertainty  -  Applied  Towards  Timely  Reallocation  of  Investments  with  Stalling  Projects
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■300    ▼a285  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-05,  Section:  A.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Mavris,  Dimitri  N.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--Georgia  Institute  of  Technology,  2024.
■520    ▼aPortfolio  Management  is  a  critical  process  in  Research  and  Development  (R&D)  organizations  that  has  been  widely  credited  for  determining  which  strategic  investments  to  make.  Throughout  the  last  forty  years,  well  established  best  practices  in  financial  portfolio  management  have  been  adapted  to  improve  R&D  investment  decisions.  With  the  critical  role  that  R&D  plays  in  revenue  sustainment,  improvements  in  R&D  portfolio  management  have  been  a  continued  area  of  focus.  Strategic  project  selection,  in  particular,  has  been  the  focus  of  many  studies  aimed  at  creating  high-value  and  robust  portfolios.  However,  in  order  to  maintain  a  high-value  portfolio,  portfolio  managers  must  adopt  an  exit  strategy  to  pivot  from  stalling  projects  to  ideas  with  higher  potential  value.  Current  decision-making  practices  may  utilize  traditional  metrics  such  as  value,  budget,  and  schedule  which  provide  some  insights  into  R&D  projects.  However,  these  metrics  may  not  provide  adequate  awareness  of  the  productivity  in  R&D  spending,  which  can  lead  to  prolonged  funding  of  projects  that  are  not  progressing.  Metrics  such  as  value  or  increasing  value  trends  can  also  motivate  continued  funding  for  projects  when  there  is  high  potential  to  disrupt  the  industry.  Furthermore,  uncertainty,  a  typical  characteristic  of  R&D  projects,  contributes  to  the  challenges  in  understanding  project  outcomes,  resulting  in  decision  paralysis.  This  dissertation  will  explore  the  effectiveness  of  a  new  visibility  tool  to  provide  insights  into  the  productivity  of  R&D  spending  for  the  purpose  of  motivating  portfolio  managers  to  terminate  stalling  projects.This  study  is  broken  into  two  phases.  The  first  phase  involved  collecting  responses  through  a  portfolio  management  computer  simulation  which  established  a  baseline  for  the  experiment.  Participants  played  the  role  of  a  portfolio  manager,  dispositioning  each  project  through  a  twelve-month  period.  Two  variations  of  the  simulations  were  created;  one  specifically  for  the  aerospace  community  and  the  other  with  more  general  project  titles.  A  comparison  between  the  two  sets  of  results  showed  small  differences  in  responses  to  perpetuate  stalled  projects.  The  data  collected  was  combined  to  use  as  an  aggregate  baseline  data  set  used  to  generate  the  supplemental  visibility  tool.  The  productivity  threshold  was  created  from  the  boundary  of  successful  projects  in  Phase  1.  This  analysis  involved  assessing  project's  remaining  risk  in  relation  to  sunk  cost.  This  visualization  tool  was  implemented  in  Phase  2  to  determine  the  effectiveness  of  the  additional  productivity  insights.The  next  phase  of  the  study  included  the  Productivity  Threshold  view  into  the  same  simulation  dashboard  from  Phase  1.  As  participants  progressed  through  the  simulation,  historical  risk  and  sunk  cost  project  data  was  provided  in  addition  to  the  current  project  status.  This  allowed  participants  to  understand  the  productivity  trajectory  by  utilizing  budgets  to  reduce  risks,  as  well  as  insights  provided  by  traditional  metrics.  The  threshold  further  provided  awareness  of  the  boundary  of  historically  successful  projects.  The  combination  of  the  threshold  and  historical  project  path  was  intended  to  trigger  a  closer  look  at  stalling  projects  and  provide  a  basis  for  pivoting  to  new  ideas.  The  effectiveness  of  the  productivity  threshold  view  is  discussed  in  this  dissertation  along  with  more  detailed  analyses  based  on  key  simulation  factors  and  demographics.  Analyses  also  included  interactions  with  simulation  factors  to  identify  key  combinations  of  factors  that  were  most  effective.  A  post  simulation  survey  captured  insights  from  participants  to  supplement  the  analyses  in  proving  the  effectiveness  of  the  threshold.  The  survey  also  captured  comments  that  identified  simulation  bias  and  learning  curve  effects.  This  dissertation  contributes  to  best  practices  in  R&D  portfolio  management  by  proving  that  additional  insights  in  R&D  productivity  directly  contribute  to  strategic  decisions  to  reduce  investments  in  stalling  projects.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0078.
■650  4▼aInnovations
■650  4▼aMotivation
■650  4▼aInvestments
■650  4▼aSuccess
■650  4▼aFunding
■650  4▼aDecision  making
■650  4▼aComputer  simulation
■650  4▼aResearch  &  development--R&D
■650  4▼aTechnology
■650  4▼aAerospace  engineering
■650  4▼aPharmaceutical  sciences
■690    ▼a0538
■690    ▼a0454
■690    ▼a0338
■690    ▼a0572
■71020▼aGeorgia  Institute  of  Technology.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-05A.
■790    ▼a0078
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2024
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17360396▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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