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Modeling the Effects of Commodity Market Movements on Militarized Interstate Disputes
Modeling the Effects of Commodity Market Movements on Militarized Interstate Disputes
상세정보
- 자료유형
- 학위논문 서양
- 최종처리일시
- 20260202103625
- ISBN
- 9798315767954
- DDC
- 320
- 서명/저자
- Modeling the Effects of Commodity Market Movements on Militarized Interstate Disputes
- 발행사항
- [Sl] : University of California, Los Angeles, 2025
- 발행사항
- Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
- 형태사항
- 125 p
- 주기사항
- Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 86-11, Section: A.
- 주기사항
- Advisor: Peters, Margaret E.
- 학위논문주기
- Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of California, Los Angeles, 2025.
- 초록/해제
- 요약In international relations literature, it has been argued that global commodity prices influence the outbreak of war through diversionary means. However, there does not exist a commonly accepted explanation of the mechanisms of occurrence. I theorize a mechanism of occurrence by connecting existing work on how commodity prices influence domestic welfare and how domestic welfare can in turn spawn interstate conflict. Using composite data con- structed from commodity indices, trade behavior, and existing conflict datasets, I develop and test models that demonstrate the existence of such a mechanism. By examining the inner workings of commodity trading firms and their relationships with state actors, I also show how financialization of the commodity market ameliorates the diversionary effect of price shocks through hedging strategies by market participants. The results shed light on what to expect in the future, where climate change can drastically affect the commodity markets in ways such as increased crop failures from natural disasters, or storm surges affecting global logistics and shipping. The mechanisms outlined in my research would help in both forecasting and shaping risk-mitigation decisions by both public and private stakeholders.
- 일반주제명
- Political science
- 키워드
- Commodity prices
- 키워드
- Domestic welfare
- 키워드
- Price shocks
- 기타저자
- University of California, Los Angeles Political Science 0699
- 기본자료저록
- Dissertations Abstracts International. 86-11A.
- 전자적 위치 및 접속
- 로그인 후 원문을 볼 수 있습니다.
MARC
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■020 ▼a9798315767954
■035 ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI32046350
■040 ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820 ▼a320
■1001 ▼aTsai, Bruce Ming Fuong.
■24510▼aModeling the Effects of Commodity Market Movements on Militarized Interstate Disputes
■260 ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity of California, Los Angeles▼c2025
■260 1▼aAnn Arbor▼bProQuest Dissertations & Theses▼c2025
■300 ▼a125 p
■500 ▼aSource: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 86-11, Section: A.
■500 ▼aAdvisor: Peters, Margaret E.
■5021 ▼aThesis (Ph.D.)--University of California, Los Angeles, 2025.
■520 ▼aIn international relations literature, it has been argued that global commodity prices influence the outbreak of war through diversionary means. However, there does not exist a commonly accepted explanation of the mechanisms of occurrence. I theorize a mechanism of occurrence by connecting existing work on how commodity prices influence domestic welfare and how domestic welfare can in turn spawn interstate conflict. Using composite data con- structed from commodity indices, trade behavior, and existing conflict datasets, I develop and test models that demonstrate the existence of such a mechanism. By examining the inner workings of commodity trading firms and their relationships with state actors, I also show how financialization of the commodity market ameliorates the diversionary effect of price shocks through hedging strategies by market participants. The results shed light on what to expect in the future, where climate change can drastically affect the commodity markets in ways such as increased crop failures from natural disasters, or storm surges affecting global logistics and shipping. The mechanisms outlined in my research would help in both forecasting and shaping risk-mitigation decisions by both public and private stakeholders.
■590 ▼aSchool code: 0031.
■650 4▼aPolitical science
■653 ▼aCommodity prices
■653 ▼aDomestic welfare
■653 ▼aInterstate conflict
■653 ▼aPrice shocks
■653 ▼aCommodity trading firms
■690 ▼a0601
■690 ▼a0501
■690 ▼a0615
■71020▼aUniversity of California, Los Angeles▼bPolitical Science 0699.
■7730 ▼tDissertations Abstracts International▼g86-11A.
■790 ▼a0031
■791 ▼aPh.D.
■792 ▼a2025
■793 ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17357975▼nKERIS▼z이 자료의 원문은 한국교육학술정보원에서 제공합니다.
