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Risk Modeling for Cyber-Physical System Security Planning
Risk Modeling for Cyber-Physical System Security Planning
Risk Modeling for Cyber-Physical System Security Planning

상세정보

자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202104835
ISBN  
9798290924618
DDC  
621
저자명  
Haseltine, Carmen.
서명/저자  
Risk Modeling for Cyber-Physical System Security Planning
발행사항  
[Sl] : The University of Wisconsin - Madison, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
98 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-02, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Albert, Laura A.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Wisconsin - Madison, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약Our society depends on critical infrastructures increasingly composed of interdependent cyber-physical systems (CPS). Securing these infrastructures requires understanding the dynamic interactions across cyber, physical, and human domains, as well as how adversaries can exploit these interdependencies. In this work, I present a risk modeling framework for CPS security that leverages attack graphs and directed acyclic graphs (DAG) to characterize system vulnerabilities and adversarial pathways using a layered approach. Motivated by the temporal and stochastic nature of CPS operations, I incorporate discrete-time Markov chains (DTMC) to enable time-dependent risk analysis.The structured modeling framework for CPS security integrates attack graphs with operational process models to support risk-informed decision-making. I apply this framework to two case studies in critical infrastructure: (1) a cyber-physical-human system (CPHS) representing the vote-by-mail (VBM) election process, and (2) a cyber-physical energy system (CPES) incorporating a small modular reactor (SMR). A time-inhomogeneous discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) model is used for VBM risk modeling to capture ballot flow, adversarial interference, and policy mitigations with a case study using absentee voting data from Milwaukee, WI. The SMR station has a layered architecture and construct attack graphs across functional layers to represent potential attack paths and system interdependencies. I introduce new metrics to assess vulnerability and component criticality under adversarial conditions. By framing these systems as CPES/CPHS, the framework effectively bridges the gap between abstract threat modeling and tangible operational realities, ensuring a more robust understanding of potential vulnerabilities. Together, these case studies demonstrate how temporal and structural extensions of attack graphs can provide scalable and interpretable tools for CPS risk analysis and prescriptive security planning.
일반주제명  
Energy
일반주제명  
Electrical engineering
일반주제명  
Computer engineering
키워드  
Informed policy
키워드  
Infrastructure protection
키워드  
Risk modeling
키워드  
Security
키워드  
Stochastic process
기타저자  
The University of Wisconsin - Madison Electrical and Computer Engineering
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-02B.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■020    ▼a9798290924618
■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI32171407
■040    ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820  ▼a621
■1001  ▼aHaseltine,  Carmen.
■24510▼aRisk  Modeling  for  Cyber-Physical  System  Security  Planning
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bThe  University  of  Wisconsin  -  Madison▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a98  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-02,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Albert,  Laura  A.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--The  University  of  Wisconsin  -  Madison,  2025.
■520    ▼aOur  society  depends  on  critical  infrastructures  increasingly  composed  of  interdependent  cyber-physical  systems  (CPS).  Securing  these  infrastructures  requires  understanding  the  dynamic  interactions  across  cyber,  physical,  and  human  domains,  as  well  as  how  adversaries  can  exploit  these  interdependencies.  In  this  work,  I  present  a  risk  modeling  framework  for  CPS  security  that  leverages  attack  graphs  and  directed  acyclic  graphs  (DAG)  to  characterize  system  vulnerabilities  and  adversarial  pathways  using  a  layered  approach.  Motivated  by  the  temporal  and  stochastic  nature  of  CPS  operations,  I  incorporate  discrete-time  Markov  chains  (DTMC)  to  enable  time-dependent  risk  analysis.The  structured  modeling  framework  for  CPS  security  integrates  attack  graphs  with  operational  process  models  to  support  risk-informed  decision-making.  I  apply  this  framework  to  two  case  studies  in  critical  infrastructure:  (1)  a  cyber-physical-human  system  (CPHS)  representing  the  vote-by-mail  (VBM)  election  process,  and  (2)  a  cyber-physical  energy  system  (CPES)  incorporating  a  small  modular  reactor  (SMR).  A  time-inhomogeneous  discrete-time  Markov  chain  (DTMC)  model  is  used  for  VBM  risk  modeling  to  capture  ballot  flow,  adversarial  interference,  and  policy  mitigations  with  a  case  study  using  absentee  voting  data  from  Milwaukee,  WI.  The  SMR  station  has  a  layered  architecture  and  construct  attack  graphs  across  functional  layers  to  represent  potential  attack  paths  and  system  interdependencies.  I  introduce  new  metrics  to  assess  vulnerability  and  component  criticality  under  adversarial  conditions.  By  framing  these  systems  as  CPES/CPHS,  the  framework  effectively  bridges  the  gap  between  abstract  threat  modeling  and  tangible  operational  realities,  ensuring  a  more  robust  understanding  of  potential  vulnerabilities.  Together,  these  case  studies  demonstrate  how  temporal  and  structural  extensions  of  attack  graphs  can  provide  scalable  and  interpretable  tools  for  CPS  risk  analysis  and  prescriptive  security  planning.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0262.
■650  4▼aEnergy
■650  4▼aElectrical  engineering
■650  4▼aComputer  engineering
■653    ▼aInformed  policy
■653    ▼aInfrastructure  protection
■653    ▼aRisk  modeling
■653    ▼aSecurity
■653    ▼aStochastic  process
■690    ▼a0796
■690    ▼a0791
■690    ▼a0544
■690    ▼a0464
■71020▼aThe  University  of  Wisconsin  -  Madison▼bElectrical  and  Computer  Engineering.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-02B.
■790    ▼a0262
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17359106▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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