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Statistical Learning for Recurrent Event and Complex Network Data
Statistical Learning for Recurrent Event and Complex Network Data
Statistical Learning for Recurrent Event and Complex Network Data

상세정보

자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202105222
ISBN  
9798291566275
DDC  
310
저자명  
Meng, Bo.
서명/저자  
Statistical Learning for Recurrent Event and Complex Network Data
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of Michigan, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
260 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-03, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Xu, Gongjun;Zhu, Ji.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Michigan, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약The rapid development of modern technology has led to an unprecedented deluge of complex data, presenting researchers with major challenges in scientific studies. These datasets are frequently large-scale, high-dimensional, possess complex structures, and are often incomplete. In these demanding scenarios, traditional statistical methods often fail, leading to incorrect conclusions or biased results. Additionally, many statistical models also suffer from computational inefficiency in the presence of large-scale data. Motivated by these challenges, this thesis develops novel statistical modeling frameworks and efficient computational methodologies tailored for large-scale recurrent event data and complex structured network data.Chapter 2 presents a general framework for analyzing recurrent event data by modeling the conditional mean function as the solution to an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE). This approach covers a wide range of semi-parametric recurrent event models, including both non-homogeneous Poisson processes (NHPPs) and non-Poisson processes, while remaining scalable and easy-to-implement. Based on this framework, we propose a Sieve Maximum Pseudo-Likelihood Estimation (SMPLE) method, prove its consistency and asymptotic normality, and show that it achieves semi-parametric efficiency when the NHPP model is correct. We also develop an efficient resampling procedure to estimate the asymptotic covariance and demonstrate the method's performance through extensive simulation studies and an application to ICU readmission data.Chapter 3 focuses on signed network data, where relationships among entities exhibit a complex interplay of positive (e.g., liking and alliances) and negative (e.g., disliking and conflicts) interactions. This chapter proposes a novel latent space model that utilizes non-linear kernel functions to capture the sign-generating pattern of balanced signed networks, and identifies a new sufficient condition for a family of signed networks to achieve population-level balance. We develop efficient projected gradient descent (PGD) algorithms to estimate the latent variables, and establish non-asymptotic error rates for parameter estimation under both correctly specified and mis-specified settings. The efficiency and robustness of our methodology are validated through extensive simulation studies. Finally, we apply this method to an international relations dataset to visualize alliance and conflict patterns among nations during World War I.Chapter 4 introduces a latent space model for analyzing longitudinal network data. This approach employs multivariate counting processes to model interaction sequences between node pairs, where intensity functions depend on static latent variables, time-varying baseline intensities, and time-varying edge covariates. To estimate the model parameters, spline-based sieve estimators are utilized, and the objective function is maximized using an efficient projected gradient descent (PGD) algorithm. This chapter establishes the statistical convergence rate of the global maximizer of the objective function and the algorithmic error rate of the PGD estimator, demonstrating that these two rates match and jointly achieve the optimal error rates under both parametric and nonparametric settings, up to a logarithmic factor. Extensive simulation studies and an application to a real-world bike-sharing dataset demonstrate the efficiency and robustness of the proposed framework.
일반주제명  
Statistics
일반주제명  
Applied mathematics
키워드  
Recurrent event analysis
키워드  
Sieve maximum likelihood estimator
키워드  
Signed networks
키워드  
Latent space models
키워드  
Longitudinal network
기타저자  
University of Michigan Statistics
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-03B.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI32271818
■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)umichrackham006239
■040    ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820  ▼a310
■1001  ▼aMeng,  Bo.
■24510▼aStatistical  Learning  for  Recurrent  Event  and  Complex  Network  Data
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  Michigan▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a260  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-03,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Xu,  Gongjun;Zhu,  Ji.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  Michigan,  2025.
■520    ▼aThe  rapid  development  of  modern  technology  has  led  to  an  unprecedented  deluge  of  complex  data,  presenting  researchers  with  major  challenges  in  scientific  studies.  These  datasets  are  frequently  large-scale,  high-dimensional,  possess  complex  structures,  and  are  often  incomplete.  In  these  demanding  scenarios,  traditional  statistical  methods  often  fail,  leading  to  incorrect  conclusions  or  biased  results.  Additionally,  many  statistical  models  also  suffer  from  computational  inefficiency  in  the  presence  of  large-scale  data.  Motivated  by  these  challenges,  this  thesis  develops  novel  statistical  modeling  frameworks  and  efficient  computational  methodologies  tailored  for  large-scale  recurrent  event  data  and  complex  structured  network  data.Chapter  2  presents  a  general  framework  for  analyzing  recurrent  event  data  by  modeling  the  conditional  mean  function  as  the  solution  to  an  Ordinary  Differential  Equation  (ODE).  This  approach  covers  a  wide  range  of  semi-parametric  recurrent  event  models,  including  both  non-homogeneous  Poisson  processes  (NHPPs)  and  non-Poisson  processes,  while  remaining  scalable  and  easy-to-implement.  Based  on  this  framework,  we  propose  a  Sieve  Maximum  Pseudo-Likelihood  Estimation  (SMPLE)  method,  prove  its  consistency  and  asymptotic  normality,  and  show  that  it  achieves  semi-parametric  efficiency  when  the  NHPP  model  is  correct.  We  also  develop  an  efficient  resampling  procedure  to  estimate  the  asymptotic  covariance  and  demonstrate  the  method's  performance  through  extensive  simulation  studies  and  an  application  to  ICU  readmission  data.Chapter  3  focuses  on  signed  network  data,  where  relationships  among  entities  exhibit  a  complex  interplay  of  positive  (e.g.,  liking  and  alliances)  and  negative  (e.g.,  disliking  and  conflicts)  interactions.  This  chapter  proposes  a  novel  latent  space  model  that  utilizes  non-linear  kernel  functions  to  capture  the  sign-generating  pattern  of  balanced  signed  networks,  and  identifies  a  new  sufficient  condition  for  a  family  of  signed  networks  to  achieve  population-level  balance.  We  develop  efficient  projected  gradient  descent  (PGD)  algorithms  to  estimate  the  latent  variables,  and  establish  non-asymptotic  error  rates  for  parameter  estimation  under  both  correctly  specified  and  mis-specified  settings.  The  efficiency  and  robustness  of  our  methodology  are  validated  through  extensive  simulation  studies.  Finally,  we  apply  this  method  to  an  international  relations  dataset  to  visualize  alliance  and  conflict  patterns  among  nations  during  World  War  I.Chapter  4  introduces  a  latent  space  model  for  analyzing  longitudinal  network  data.  This  approach  employs  multivariate  counting  processes  to  model  interaction  sequences  between  node  pairs,  where  intensity  functions  depend  on  static  latent  variables,  time-varying  baseline  intensities,  and  time-varying  edge  covariates.  To  estimate  the  model  parameters,  spline-based  sieve  estimators  are  utilized,  and  the  objective  function  is  maximized  using  an  efficient  projected  gradient  descent  (PGD)  algorithm.  This  chapter  establishes  the  statistical  convergence  rate  of  the  global  maximizer  of  the  objective  function  and  the  algorithmic  error  rate  of  the  PGD  estimator,  demonstrating  that  these  two  rates  match  and  jointly  achieve  the  optimal  error  rates  under  both  parametric  and  nonparametric  settings,  up  to  a  logarithmic  factor.  Extensive  simulation  studies  and  an  application  to  a  real-world  bike-sharing  dataset  demonstrate  the  efficiency  and  robustness  of  the  proposed  framework.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0127.
■650  4▼aStatistics
■650  4▼aApplied  mathematics
■653    ▼aRecurrent  event  analysis
■653    ▼aSieve  maximum  likelihood  estimator
■653    ▼aSigned  networks
■653    ▼aLatent  space  models
■653    ▼aLongitudinal  network
■690    ▼a0463
■690    ▼a0364
■71020▼aUniversity  of  Michigan▼bStatistics.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-03B.
■790    ▼a0127
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17359837▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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