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Using Machine Learning to Advance High School Dropout Prediction and Prevention
Using Machine Learning to Advance High School Dropout Prediction and Prevention
Using Machine Learning to Advance High School Dropout Prediction and Prevention

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202103141
ISBN  
9798280759206
DDC  
379
저자명  
Alam, Anika.
서명/저자  
Using Machine Learning to Advance High School Dropout Prediction and Prevention
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of Pennsylvania, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
295 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 86-12, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Bowden, A. Brooks.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Pennsylvania, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약The importance of high school completion for jobs and postsecondary opportunities is welldocumented. Combined with federal laws where high school graduation rate is a core performance indicator, school, districts, and states face pressure to actively monitor and assess high school completion. This study employs machine learning techniques to identify students atrisk of exiting high school in either 9th or 10th grade. I find increased precision when applying resampling techniques to balance the training data, and that logistic regression performs similarly to more complex algorithms. When assessing the algorithmic fairness of models, I find most models tend to discriminate students with group membership in English proficiency, disability, and economic disadvantage attributes. Post-hoc analyses of the XGboost model reveal that a student's age in 8th grade followed by middle grade absences, especially chronic absenteeism, is predictive of early exit. This study advances the current state of knowledge in the field by (1) generating synthetic data to improve model accuracy, (2) ensuring that model predictions prevent the deepening of structural inequities, and (3) exploring novel approaches to enhance the explainability associated with "black box" models, ultimately generating actionable insights for practitioners and stakeholders.
일반주제명  
Education policy
일반주제명  
Education
키워드  
Dropout prevention
키워드  
Early warning systems
키워드  
Machine learning
키워드  
Predictive analytics
기타저자  
University of Pennsylvania Education
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 86-12B.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI31994264
■040    ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820  ▼a379
■1001  ▼aAlam,  Anika.
■24510▼aUsing  Machine  Learning  to  Advance  High  School  Dropout  Prediction  and  Prevention
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  Pennsylvania▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a295  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  86-12,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Bowden,  A.  Brooks.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  Pennsylvania,  2025.
■520    ▼aThe  importance  of  high  school  completion  for  jobs  and  postsecondary  opportunities  is  welldocumented.  Combined  with  federal  laws  where  high  school  graduation  rate  is  a  core  performance  indicator,  school,  districts,  and  states  face  pressure  to  actively  monitor  and  assess  high  school  completion.  This  study  employs  machine  learning  techniques  to  identify  students  atrisk  of  exiting  high  school  in  either  9th  or  10th  grade.  I  find  increased  precision  when  applying  resampling  techniques  to  balance  the  training  data,  and  that  logistic  regression  performs  similarly  to  more  complex  algorithms.  When  assessing  the  algorithmic  fairness  of  models,  I  find  most  models  tend  to  discriminate  students  with  group  membership  in  English  proficiency,  disability,  and  economic  disadvantage  attributes.  Post-hoc  analyses  of  the  XGboost  model  reveal  that  a  student's  age  in  8th  grade  followed  by  middle  grade  absences,  especially  chronic  absenteeism,  is  predictive  of  early  exit.  This  study  advances  the  current  state  of  knowledge  in  the  field  by  (1)  generating  synthetic  data  to  improve  model  accuracy,  (2)  ensuring  that  model  predictions  prevent  the  deepening  of  structural  inequities,  and  (3)  exploring  novel  approaches  to  enhance  the  explainability  associated  with  "black  box"  models,  ultimately  generating  actionable  insights  for  practitioners  and  stakeholders.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0175.
■650  4▼aEducation  policy
■650  4▼aEducation
■653    ▼aDropout  prevention
■653    ▼aEarly  warning  systems
■653    ▼aMachine  learning
■653    ▼aPredictive  analytics
■690    ▼a0458
■690    ▼a0800
■690    ▼a0515
■71020▼aUniversity  of  Pennsylvania▼bEducation.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g86-12B.
■790    ▼a0175
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17357160▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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