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Multiscale Infectious Disease Dynamics: Linking Epidemiology and Testing for Outbreak Neutralization
Multiscale Infectious Disease Dynamics: Linking Epidemiology and Testing for Outbreak Neut...
Multiscale Infectious Disease Dynamics: Linking Epidemiology and Testing for Outbreak Neutralization

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202103125
ISBN  
9798314899380
DDC  
614.4
저자명  
Middleton, Casey.
서명/저자  
Multiscale Infectious Disease Dynamics: Linking Epidemiology and Testing for Outbreak Neutralization
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of Colorado at Boulder, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
152 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 86-11, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Larremore, Daniel.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Colorado at Boulder, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약Infectious disease dynamics are shaped by interactions across multiple scales. Within a host, pathogens interact with cellular and immune processes, driving fluctuations in pathogen concentrations and immune responses. Between hosts, infectious contacts facilitate pathogen transmission, driving fluctuations in case counts and population immunity levels. However, traditional mathematical models often focus on only one of these scales. This dissertation addresses this gap by leveraging multi-scale modeling to examine how within-host dynamics influence population-level transmission. By integrating models of within-host viral and immune dynamics with between-host epidemiological transmission models, this work provides insights into infectious disease spread and intervention strategies.First, a multi-scale model is developed to estimate testing effectiveness, the reduction in transmission due to testing and subsequent isolation, using a probabilistic framework which incorporates viral kinetics, test attributes, and testing behaviors. This model provides a general framework for comparing testing strategies for any virus. Second, these results are incorporated into a compartmental modeling framework to analyze the effectiveness of vaccinate-or-test policies for COVID-19. Lastly, a framework is developed to evaluate our ability to learn about correlates of protection by linking immunological marker concentrations with observed infection events in test-negative design studies. This research highlights the importance of incorporating both within-host and between-host processes to understand infectious disease dynamics and evaluate intervention strategies.
일반주제명  
Epidemiology
일반주제명  
Applied mathematics
일반주제명  
Public health
일반주제명  
Computer science
키워드  
Infectious diseases
키워드  
COVID-19
키워드  
Pathogens
키워드  
Viral kinetics
키워드  
Multi-scale modeling
기타저자  
University of Colorado at Boulder Computer Science
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 86-11B.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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■1001  ▼aMiddleton,  Casey.▼0(orcid)0000-0002-9665-6121
■24510▼aMultiscale  Infectious  Disease  Dynamics:  Linking  Epidemiology  and  Testing  for  Outbreak  Neutralization
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  Colorado  at  Boulder▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a152  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  86-11,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Larremore,  Daniel.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  Colorado  at  Boulder,  2025.
■520    ▼aInfectious  disease  dynamics  are  shaped  by  interactions  across  multiple  scales.  Within  a  host,  pathogens  interact  with  cellular  and  immune  processes,  driving  fluctuations  in  pathogen  concentrations  and  immune  responses.  Between  hosts,  infectious  contacts  facilitate  pathogen  transmission,  driving  fluctuations  in  case  counts  and  population  immunity  levels.  However,  traditional  mathematical  models  often  focus  on  only  one  of  these  scales.  This  dissertation  addresses  this  gap  by  leveraging  multi-scale  modeling  to  examine  how  within-host  dynamics  influence  population-level  transmission.  By  integrating  models  of  within-host  viral  and  immune  dynamics  with  between-host  epidemiological  transmission  models,  this  work  provides  insights  into  infectious  disease  spread  and  intervention  strategies.First,  a  multi-scale  model  is  developed  to  estimate  testing  effectiveness,  the  reduction  in  transmission  due  to  testing  and  subsequent  isolation,  using  a  probabilistic  framework  which  incorporates  viral  kinetics,  test  attributes,  and  testing  behaviors.  This  model  provides  a  general  framework  for  comparing  testing  strategies  for  any  virus.  Second,  these  results  are  incorporated  into  a  compartmental  modeling  framework  to  analyze  the  effectiveness  of  vaccinate-or-test  policies  for  COVID-19.  Lastly,  a  framework  is  developed  to  evaluate  our  ability  to  learn  about  correlates  of  protection  by  linking  immunological  marker  concentrations  with  observed  infection  events  in  test-negative  design  studies.  This  research  highlights  the  importance  of  incorporating  both  within-host  and  between-host  processes  to  understand  infectious  disease  dynamics  and  evaluate  intervention  strategies.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0051.
■650  4▼aEpidemiology
■650  4▼aApplied  mathematics
■650  4▼aPublic  health
■650  4▼aComputer  science
■653    ▼aInfectious  diseases
■653    ▼aCOVID-19
■653    ▼aPathogens
■653    ▼aViral  kinetics
■653    ▼aMulti-scale  modeling
■690    ▼a0766
■690    ▼a0364
■690    ▼a0573
■690    ▼a0984
■71020▼aUniversity  of  Colorado  at  Boulder▼bComputer  Science.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g86-11B.
■790    ▼a0051
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17357065▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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