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Effects and Design of Central Bank Corporate Credit Facilities
Effects and Design of Central Bank Corporate Credit Facilities
Effects and Design of Central Bank Corporate Credit Facilities

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202103545
ISBN  
9798286455072
DDC  
658
저자명  
Momin, Rayhan.
서명/저자  
Effects and Design of Central Bank Corporate Credit Facilities
발행사항  
[Sl] : The University of Chicago, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
254 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-01, Section: A.
주기사항  
Advisor: Rajan, Raghuram;He, Zhiguo.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Chicago, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약This dissertation investigates the price effects, real effects, and design of the Federal Reserve's Corporate Credit Facilities (CCFs), launched in 2020 to stabilize U.S. corporate bond markets during the COVID-19 pandemic.Chapter 1, based on work with Jessica S. Li, estimates impact of the CCFs on corporate bond spreads. The CCFs included both direct support via cash bond purchases and indirect support via exchange-traded fund (ETF) purchases. We exploit bond-level ratings heterogeneity across firms to identify treatment effects from direct bond support. The March 23, 2020 announcement of the CCFs reduced spreads by 96 basis points (bps) for eligible issuers. To estimate the impact of the April 9 expansion, we leverage a quasi-natural experiment involving "Fallen Angel" firms-those initially eligible, then briefly ineligible, but reinstated during the expansion. Relative to a control group, we find a -126 bps treatment effect. Using a causal machine learning approach detailed in Chapter 2, we estimate that ineligible firms would have seen a -500 bps spread reduction had they received direct bond support on March 23.Chapter 2 develops a novel two-step semi-parametric difference-in-differences (DiD) estimator for dynamic and heterogeneous treatment effects, allowing for flexible policy counterfactuals. Applying the method to firm-level outcomes, I analyze the real effects of the CCFs on cash holdings, leverage, payouts, and investment. The estimator produces results consistent with conventional panel and event study regressions but highlights important heterogeneity. Firms generally increased cash and leverage, while payout and investment initially declined. However, CCF-eligible firms began deleveraging by 2021 and accumulated less cash compared to ineligible peers. Despite increased shareholder payouts, eligible firms did not raise investment levels, suggesting that the CCFs failed to achieve their stated real economy goals. Counterfactual treatment effects suggest that broadening eligibility for direct bond support might have increased leverage and payouts, but evidence on investment gains is weak or inconclusive. Chapter 3 provides a theoretical framework to explain these findings. I construct a dynamic capital structure model with investment in which firms cannot commit to a debt issuance policy. In the model, unsecured debt interventions accelerate borrowing but undermine the benefit of lower bond yields due to increased leverage. The proceeds are primarily distributed to shareholders rather than invested. In contrast, secured debt interventions support better investment outcomes because the collateral constraint on secured debt issuance induces commitment. Even for financially unconstrained firms, secured debt interventions yield more favorable dynamics, aligning firm incentives with the policy's intended real effects. Together, these chapters demonstrate that while the CCFs were highly effective in reducing borrowing costs, their real effects were muted or misdirected, in part due to firms' inability to commit to future financial policies. The findings underscore the importance of policy design-particularly the role of collateral and commitment-in determining the effectiveness of credit market interventions.
일반주제명  
Finance
일반주제명  
American studies
키워드  
Causal machine learning
키워드  
Central bank interventions
키워드  
Corporate bond markets
키워드  
Corporate Credit Facilities
키워드  
Federal reserve
키워드  
Monetary policy
기타저자  
The University of Chicago Business
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-01A.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI32041246
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■1001  ▼aMomin,  Rayhan.▼0(orcid)0000-0001-8578-5457
■24510▼aEffects  and  Design  of  Central  Bank  Corporate  Credit  Facilities
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bThe  University  of  Chicago▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a254  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-01,  Section:  A.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Rajan,  Raghuram;He,  Zhiguo.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--The  University  of  Chicago,  2025.
■520    ▼aThis  dissertation  investigates  the  price  effects,  real  effects,  and  design  of  the  Federal  Reserve's  Corporate  Credit  Facilities  (CCFs),  launched  in  2020  to  stabilize  U.S.  corporate  bond  markets  during  the  COVID-19  pandemic.Chapter  1,  based  on  work  with  Jessica  S.  Li,  estimates  impact  of  the  CCFs  on  corporate  bond  spreads.  The  CCFs  included  both  direct  support  via  cash  bond  purchases  and  indirect  support  via  exchange-traded  fund  (ETF)  purchases.  We  exploit  bond-level  ratings  heterogeneity  across  firms  to  identify  treatment  effects  from  direct  bond  support.  The  March  23,  2020  announcement  of  the  CCFs  reduced  spreads  by  96  basis  points  (bps)  for  eligible  issuers.  To  estimate  the  impact  of  the  April  9  expansion,  we  leverage  a  quasi-natural  experiment  involving  "Fallen  Angel"  firms-those  initially  eligible,  then  briefly  ineligible,  but  reinstated  during  the  expansion.  Relative  to  a  control  group,  we  find  a  -126  bps  treatment  effect.  Using  a  causal  machine  learning  approach  detailed  in  Chapter  2,  we  estimate  that  ineligible  firms  would  have  seen  a  -500  bps  spread  reduction  had  they  received  direct  bond  support  on  March  23.Chapter  2  develops  a  novel  two-step  semi-parametric  difference-in-differences  (DiD)  estimator  for  dynamic  and  heterogeneous  treatment  effects,  allowing  for  flexible  policy  counterfactuals.  Applying  the  method  to  firm-level  outcomes,  I  analyze  the  real  effects  of  the  CCFs  on  cash  holdings,  leverage,  payouts,  and  investment.  The  estimator  produces  results  consistent  with  conventional  panel  and  event  study  regressions  but  highlights  important  heterogeneity.  Firms  generally  increased  cash  and  leverage,  while  payout  and  investment  initially  declined.  However,  CCF-eligible  firms  began  deleveraging  by  2021  and  accumulated  less  cash  compared  to  ineligible  peers.  Despite  increased  shareholder  payouts,  eligible  firms  did  not  raise  investment  levels,  suggesting  that  the  CCFs  failed  to  achieve  their  stated  real  economy  goals.  Counterfactual  treatment  effects  suggest  that  broadening  eligibility  for  direct  bond  support  might  have  increased  leverage  and  payouts,  but  evidence  on  investment  gains  is  weak  or  inconclusive.  Chapter  3  provides  a  theoretical  framework  to  explain  these  findings.  I  construct  a  dynamic  capital  structure  model  with  investment  in  which  firms  cannot  commit  to  a  debt  issuance  policy.  In  the  model,  unsecured  debt  interventions  accelerate  borrowing  but  undermine  the  benefit  of  lower  bond  yields  due  to  increased  leverage.  The  proceeds  are  primarily  distributed  to  shareholders  rather  than  invested.  In  contrast,  secured  debt  interventions  support  better  investment  outcomes  because  the  collateral  constraint  on  secured  debt  issuance  induces  commitment.  Even  for  financially  unconstrained  firms,  secured  debt  interventions  yield  more  favorable  dynamics,  aligning  firm  incentives  with  the  policy's  intended  real  effects.  Together,  these  chapters  demonstrate  that  while  the  CCFs  were  highly  effective  in  reducing  borrowing  costs,  their  real  effects  were  muted  or  misdirected,  in  part  due  to  firms'  inability  to  commit  to  future  financial  policies.  The  findings  underscore  the  importance  of  policy  design-particularly  the  role  of  collateral  and  commitment-in  determining  the  effectiveness  of  credit  market  interventions.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0330.
■650  4▼aFinance
■650  4▼aAmerican  studies
■653    ▼aCausal  machine  learning
■653    ▼aCentral  bank  interventions
■653    ▼aCorporate  bond  markets
■653    ▼aCorporate  Credit  Facilities
■653    ▼aFederal  reserve
■653    ▼aMonetary  policy
■690    ▼a0508
■690    ▼a0501
■690    ▼a0323
■690    ▼a0770
■71020▼aThe  University  of  Chicago▼bBusiness.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-01A.
■790    ▼a0330
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17357677▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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