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Quickest Change Detection Under Post-Change Non-Stationarity and Uncertainty
Quickest Change Detection Under Post-Change Non-Stationarity and Uncertainty
Quickest Change Detection Under Post-Change Non-Stationarity and Uncertainty

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260209102848
ISBN  
9798291563755
DDC  
310
저자명  
Liang, Yuchen.
서명/저자  
Quickest Change Detection Under Post-Change Non-Stationarity and Uncertainty
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 2023
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2023
형태사항  
149 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-02, Section: B.
주기사항  
Advisor: Veeravalli, Venugopal V.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 2023.
초록/해제  
요약The problem of quickest change detection in a sequence of independent observations is considered. Given sequential observations, the problem aims to detect the change after it occurs as quickly as possible, subject to false alarm constraints. The goal of this dissertation is to extend classical theories of quickest change detection for cases where the post-change observations are non-stationary, and/or where the post-change distribution is not fully known nor belongs to known parametric families.The first problem considered is the mean-change detection problem, where a change in the mean of an observation sequence above some threshold is of interest. The post-change observations are allowed to be non-stationary, and no knowledge of the post-change distribution is assumed other than that its mean is above the threshold. The problem is formulated as a robust change detection problem, and the Mean-Change Test (MCT) is derived, which is shown to be asymptotically close to the minimax robust solution.In the second problem, the post-change observations are assumed non-stationary with possible parametric uncertainty in their distribution, where this non-stationarity is characterized by the cumulative Kullback-Leibler divergence between the post- and the pre-change distributions. A universal asymptotic lower bound on the delay is derived. For the case where the post-change distributions have parametric uncertainty, a window-limited (WL) generalized likelihood-ratio (GLR) CuSum test is developed which is shown to be asymptotically optimal. The use of the WL-GLR-CuSum test in monitoring pandemics is also demonstrated.The next two problems focus on observation models where there is a lack of concrete knowledge of the post-change distribution. In the third problem, it is assumed that the only information about the post-change distribution is through a (small) set of training data. The problem is formulated as a data-driven robust change detection problem, where the post-change uncertainty set is constructed using the Wasserstein distance from the empirical distribution. The distributional robust (DR) CuSum test is constructed and is shown to be asymptotically minimax robust. The size of the uncertainty set is theoretically characterized using Wasserstein concentration bounds.In the last problem, it is assumed that the post-change distribution is completely unknown. Two tests, the window-limited non-parametric generalized likelihood ratio (NGLR) CuSum test and the non-parametric window-limited adaptive (NWLA) CuSum test, are developed with generic density estimators. Both tests do not require any pre-collected training samples. The tests are shown to achieve first-order asymptotic optimality under certain convergence conditions on the density estimator.
일반주제명  
Statistics
일반주제명  
Electrical engineering
일반주제명  
Computer engineering
키워드  
Quickest change detection
키워드  
Non-stationary observations
키워드  
Non-parametric methods
키워드  
Density estimation
키워드  
Optimal robust detection
키워드  
Wasserstein distance
기타저자  
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Electrical & Computer Eng
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-02B.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■0820  ▼a310
■1001  ▼aLiang,  Yuchen.
■24510▼aQuickest  Change  Detection  Under  Post-Change  Non-Stationarity  and  Uncertainty
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  Illinois  at  Urbana-Champaign▼c2023
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2023
■300    ▼a149  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-02,  Section:  B.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Veeravalli,  Venugopal  V.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  Illinois  at  Urbana-Champaign,  2023.
■520    ▼aThe  problem  of  quickest  change  detection  in  a  sequence  of  independent  observations  is  considered.  Given  sequential  observations,  the  problem  aims  to  detect  the  change  after  it  occurs  as  quickly  as  possible,  subject  to  false  alarm  constraints.  The  goal  of  this  dissertation  is  to  extend  classical  theories  of  quickest  change  detection  for  cases  where  the  post-change  observations  are  non-stationary,  and/or  where  the  post-change  distribution  is  not  fully  known  nor  belongs  to  known  parametric  families.The  first  problem  considered  is  the  mean-change  detection  problem,  where  a  change  in  the  mean  of  an  observation  sequence  above  some  threshold  is  of  interest.  The  post-change  observations  are  allowed  to  be  non-stationary,  and  no  knowledge  of  the  post-change  distribution  is  assumed  other  than  that  its  mean  is  above  the  threshold.  The  problem  is  formulated  as  a  robust  change  detection  problem,  and  the  Mean-Change  Test  (MCT)  is  derived,  which  is  shown  to  be  asymptotically  close  to  the  minimax  robust  solution.In  the  second  problem,  the  post-change  observations  are  assumed  non-stationary  with  possible  parametric  uncertainty  in  their  distribution,  where  this  non-stationarity  is  characterized  by  the  cumulative  Kullback-Leibler  divergence  between  the  post-  and  the  pre-change  distributions.  A  universal  asymptotic  lower  bound  on  the  delay  is  derived.  For  the  case  where  the  post-change  distributions  have  parametric  uncertainty,  a  window-limited  (WL)  generalized  likelihood-ratio  (GLR)  CuSum  test  is  developed  which  is  shown  to  be  asymptotically  optimal.  The  use  of  the  WL-GLR-CuSum  test  in  monitoring  pandemics  is  also  demonstrated.The  next  two  problems  focus  on  observation  models  where  there  is  a  lack  of  concrete  knowledge  of  the  post-change  distribution.  In  the  third  problem,  it  is  assumed  that  the  only  information  about  the  post-change  distribution  is  through  a  (small)  set  of  training  data.  The  problem  is  formulated  as  a  data-driven  robust  change  detection  problem,  where  the  post-change  uncertainty  set  is  constructed  using  the  Wasserstein  distance  from  the  empirical  distribution.  The  distributional  robust  (DR)  CuSum  test  is  constructed  and  is  shown  to  be  asymptotically  minimax  robust.  The  size  of  the  uncertainty  set  is  theoretically  characterized  using  Wasserstein  concentration  bounds.In  the  last  problem,  it  is  assumed  that  the  post-change  distribution  is  completely  unknown.  Two  tests,  the  window-limited  non-parametric  generalized  likelihood  ratio  (NGLR)  CuSum  test  and  the  non-parametric  window-limited  adaptive  (NWLA)  CuSum  test,  are  developed  with  generic  density  estimators.  Both  tests  do  not  require  any  pre-collected  training  samples.  The  tests  are  shown  to  achieve  first-order  asymptotic  optimality  under  certain  convergence  conditions  on  the  density  estimator.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0090.
■650  4▼aStatistics
■650  4▼aElectrical  engineering
■650  4▼aComputer  engineering
■653    ▼aQuickest  change  detection
■653    ▼aNon-stationary  observations
■653    ▼aNon-parametric  methods
■653    ▼aDensity  estimation
■653    ▼aOptimal  robust  detection
■653    ▼aWasserstein  distance
■690    ▼a0544
■690    ▼a0463
■690    ▼a0464
■71020▼aUniversity  of  Illinois  at  Urbana-Champaign▼bElectrical  &  Computer  Eng.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-02B.
■790    ▼a0090
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2023
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17365888▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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