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The Spillover of Violence: Its Effect on Third-Party Observers
The Spillover of Violence: Its Effect on Third-Party Observers
The Spillover of Violence: Its Effect on Third-Party Observers

상세정보

자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202105148
ISBN  
9798293825813
DDC  
320
저자명  
Wu, Zhiqian.
서명/저자  
The Spillover of Violence: Its Effect on Third-Party Observers
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of California, Los Angeles, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
227 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-03, Section: A.
주기사항  
Advisor: Stein, Arthur A.;Min, Eric A.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of California, Los Angeles, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약This dissertation develops a two-dimensional typology to explain how third-party observer states respond to foreign aggression. It argues that such responses are shaped by the interaction of two distinct drivers: empathetic identification with the victim and perceived existential threat from the perpetrator. Drawing on cases of China's repression in Hong Kong and Xinjiang (2019) and Russia's interventions in Georgia (2008), Crimea (2014), and Ukraine (2022), the analysis demonstrates that this framework consistently predicts variation in a third-party observer's reaction to foreign violence. States combining high empathy with high threat perception-such as Poland and the Baltic states during the 2022 invasion-mounted the strongest and most durable responses, providing sanctions, arms transfers, and diplomatic leadership. By contrast, states motivated by only one factor engaged cautiously, while those lacking both largely abstained. The study further shows that empathetic framing, such as appeals to shared democratic identity, can expand coalitions of support, but significant commitments depend on the presence of tangible security stakes. Theoretically, the dissertation offers a parsimonious model that bridges literature on moral solidarity, threat perception, and public opinion. Empirically, it integrates event data, public opinion surveys, and rhetorical analysis to document how narratives reshape perceptions of interest and identity across diverse contexts. The findings carry important normative and policy implications. They suggest that third-party observers can significantly influence the trajectory of international crises when both empathy and threat converge, altering deterrence dynamics and reinforcing global norms. For potential aggressors, the results highlight that violence in an interconnected world is unlikely to remain localized: third-party responses may impose substantial costs that must be factored into strategic calculations.
일반주제명  
Political science
일반주제명  
Baltic studies
키워드  
Bystanders
키워드  
Election
키워드  
Third-party observers
키워드  
Public opinion
키워드  
Spillover
키워드  
Foreign violence
기타저자  
University of California, Los Angeles Political Science 0699
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-03A.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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MARC

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■020    ▼a9798293825813
■035    ▼a(MiAaPQ)AAI32241532
■040    ▼aMiAaPQ▼cMiAaPQ
■0820  ▼a320
■1001  ▼aWu,  Zhiqian.
■24510▼aThe  Spillover  of  Violence:  Its  Effect  on  Third-Party  Observers
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  California,  Los  Angeles▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a227  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-03,  Section:  A.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Stein,  Arthur  A.;Min,  Eric  A.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  California,  Los  Angeles,  2025.
■520    ▼aThis  dissertation  develops  a  two-dimensional  typology  to  explain  how  third-party  observer  states  respond  to  foreign  aggression.  It  argues  that  such  responses  are  shaped  by  the  interaction  of  two  distinct  drivers:  empathetic  identification  with  the  victim  and  perceived  existential  threat  from  the  perpetrator.  Drawing  on  cases  of  China's  repression  in  Hong  Kong  and  Xinjiang  (2019)  and  Russia's  interventions  in  Georgia  (2008),  Crimea  (2014),  and  Ukraine  (2022),  the  analysis  demonstrates  that  this  framework  consistently  predicts  variation  in  a  third-party  observer's  reaction  to  foreign  violence.  States  combining  high  empathy  with  high  threat  perception-such  as  Poland  and  the  Baltic  states  during  the  2022  invasion-mounted  the  strongest  and  most  durable  responses,  providing  sanctions,  arms  transfers,  and  diplomatic leadership.  By  contrast,  states  motivated  by  only  one  factor  engaged  cautiously,  while  those  lacking  both  largely  abstained.  The  study  further  shows  that  empathetic  framing,  such  as  appeals  to  shared  democratic  identity,  can  expand  coalitions  of  support,  but  significant  commitments  depend  on  the  presence  of  tangible  security  stakes.  Theoretically,  the  dissertation  offers  a  parsimonious  model  that  bridges  literature  on  moral  solidarity,  threat  perception,  and  public  opinion.  Empirically,  it  integrates  event  data,  public  opinion  surveys,  and  rhetorical  analysis  to  document  how  narratives  reshape  perceptions  of  interest  and  identity  across  diverse  contexts.  The  findings  carry  important  normative  and  policy  implications.  They  suggest  that  third-party  observers  can  significantly  influence  the  trajectory  of  international  crises  when  both  empathy  and  threat  converge,  altering  deterrence  dynamics  and  reinforcing  global  norms.  For  potential  aggressors,  the  results  highlight  that  violence  in  an  interconnected  world  is  unlikely  to  remain  localized:  third-party  responses  may  impose  substantial  costs  that  must  be  factored  into  strategic  calculations.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0031.
■650  4▼aPolitical  science
■650  4▼aBaltic  studies
■653    ▼aBystanders
■653    ▼aElection
■653    ▼aThird-party  observers
■653    ▼aPublic  opinion
■653    ▼aSpillover
■653    ▼aForeign  violence
■690    ▼a0601
■690    ▼a0615
■690    ▼a0361
■71020▼aUniversity  of  California,  Los  Angeles▼bPolitical  Science  0699.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-03A.
■790    ▼a0031
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17359627▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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