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Essays on Causal Inference and Network Econometrics
Essays on Causal Inference and Network Econometrics
Essays on Causal Inference and Network Econometrics

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자료유형  
 학위논문 서양
최종처리일시  
20260202103557
ISBN  
9798288865015
DDC  
302
저자명  
Gao, Mengsi.
서명/저자  
Essays on Causal Inference and Network Econometrics
발행사항  
[Sl] : University of California, Berkeley, 2025
발행사항  
Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2025
형태사항  
190 p
주기사항  
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-01, Section: A.
주기사항  
Advisor: Graham, Bryan S.;Ding, Peng.
학위논문주기  
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of California, Berkeley, 2025.
초록/해제  
요약This dissertation includes three chapters, each developing methods for estimating causal effects in network experiments, a setting characterized by interference among units. In the first chapter, I investigate the identification and inference of treatment effects in randomized controlled trials with social interactions. Two key network features introduce endogeneity: (1) latent variables influencing both network formation and outcomes, and (2) treatment-induced changes to the network structure that mediate treatment effects. I first define parameters in a post-treatment network framework, distinguishing direct effects from indirect effects mediated by network changes, and provide a causal interpretation of coefficients in a linear outcome model. To address endogeneity, I propose a shift-share instrument variable strategy and establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the IV estimator in relatively sparse networks. For denser networks, I introduce a denoised SSIV estimator based on eigendecomposition to restore consistency. Finally, I revisit Prina (2015) as an empirical illustration, showing that treatment can influence outcomes both directly and through network structure changes. In the second chapter, coauthored with Peng Ding, we study the spillover effects using regression-based estimators under the design-based framework. Network experiments are powerful tools for studying spillover effects, which avoids endogeneity by randomly assigning treatments to units over networks. However, it is non-trivial to analyze network experiments properly without imposing strong modeling assumptions. We show that regression-based point estimators and standard errors can have strong theoretical guarantees if the regression functions and robust standard errors are carefully specified to accommodate the interference patterns under network experiments. We first recall a well-known result that the Hajek estimator is numerically identical to the coefficient from the weighted-least-squares fit based on the inverse probability of the exposure mapping. Moreover, we demonstrate that the regression-based approach offers three notable advantages: its ease of implementation, the ability to derive standard errors through the same regression fit, and the capacity to integrate covariates into the analysis to improve efficiency. Recognizing that the regression-based network-robust covariance estimator can be anti-conservative under nonconstant effects, we propose an adjusted covariance estimator to improve the empirical coverage rates.In the third chapter, I investigate the Hausman test for network endogeneity by revisiting the linear-in-means framework in Chapter 1, which restricts the attention to models without endogenous peer effects. First, I establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the OLS estimator when there is no endogeneity and show that its estimator for the average peer effect may converge at a rate slower than √n when variation in the peer-fraction regressor vanishes. I then develop a Hausman test for network exogeneity by contrasting OLS and IV estimators. Simulation results demonstrate that the test maintains correct size and delivers strong power.
키워드  
Social interactions
키워드  
Network structure
키워드  
Asymptotic normality
기타저자  
University of California, Berkeley Economics
기본자료저록  
Dissertations Abstracts International. 87-01A.
전자적 위치 및 접속  
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■1001  ▼aGao,  Mengsi.
■24510▼aEssays  on  Causal  Inference  and  Network  Econometrics
■260    ▼a[Sl]▼bUniversity  of  California,  Berkeley▼c2025
■260  1▼aAnn  Arbor▼bProQuest  Dissertations  &  Theses▼c2025
■300    ▼a190  p
■500    ▼aSource:  Dissertations  Abstracts  International,  Volume:  87-01,  Section:  A.
■500    ▼aAdvisor:  Graham,  Bryan  S.;Ding,  Peng.
■5021  ▼aThesis  (Ph.D.)--University  of  California,  Berkeley,  2025.
■520    ▼aThis  dissertation  includes  three  chapters,  each  developing  methods  for  estimating  causal  effects  in  network  experiments,  a  setting  characterized  by  interference  among  units.  In  the  first  chapter,  I  investigate  the  identification  and  inference  of  treatment  effects  in  randomized  controlled  trials  with  social  interactions.  Two  key  network  features  introduce  endogeneity:  (1)  latent  variables  influencing  both  network  formation  and  outcomes,  and  (2)  treatment-induced  changes  to  the  network  structure  that  mediate  treatment  effects.  I  first  define  parameters  in  a  post-treatment  network  framework,  distinguishing  direct  effects  from  indirect  effects  mediated  by  network  changes,  and  provide  a  causal  interpretation  of  coefficients  in  a  linear  outcome  model.  To  address  endogeneity,  I  propose  a  shift-share  instrument  variable  strategy  and  establish  consistency  and  asymptotic  normality  of  the  IV  estimator  in  relatively  sparse  networks.  For  denser  networks,  I  introduce  a  denoised  SSIV  estimator  based  on  eigendecomposition  to  restore  consistency.  Finally,  I  revisit  Prina  (2015)  as  an  empirical  illustration,  showing  that  treatment  can  influence  outcomes  both  directly  and  through  network  structure  changes.  In  the  second  chapter,  coauthored  with  Peng  Ding,  we  study  the  spillover  effects  using  regression-based  estimators  under  the  design-based  framework.  Network  experiments  are  powerful  tools  for  studying  spillover  effects,  which  avoids  endogeneity  by  randomly  assigning  treatments  to  units  over  networks.  However,  it  is  non-trivial  to  analyze  network  experiments  properly  without  imposing  strong  modeling  assumptions.  We  show  that  regression-based  point  estimators  and  standard  errors  can  have  strong  theoretical  guarantees  if  the  regression  functions  and  robust  standard  errors  are  carefully  specified  to  accommodate  the  interference  patterns  under  network  experiments.  We  first  recall  a  well-known  result  that  the  Hajek  estimator  is  numerically  identical  to  the  coefficient  from  the  weighted-least-squares  fit  based  on  the  inverse  probability  of  the  exposure  mapping.  Moreover,  we  demonstrate  that  the  regression-based  approach  offers  three  notable  advantages:  its  ease  of  implementation,  the  ability  to  derive  standard  errors  through  the  same  regression  fit,  and  the  capacity  to  integrate  covariates  into  the  analysis  to  improve  efficiency.  Recognizing  that  the  regression-based  network-robust  covariance  estimator  can  be  anti-conservative  under  nonconstant  effects,  we  propose  an  adjusted  covariance  estimator  to  improve  the  empirical  coverage  rates.In  the  third  chapter,  I  investigate  the  Hausman  test  for  network  endogeneity  by  revisiting  the  linear-in-means  framework  in  Chapter  1,  which  restricts  the  attention  to  models  without  endogenous  peer  effects.  First,  I  establish  the  consistency  and  asymptotic  normality  of  the  OLS  estimator  when  there  is  no  endogeneity  and  show  that  its  estimator  for  the  average  peer  effect  may  converge  at  a  rate  slower  than  √n  when  variation  in  the  peer-fraction  regressor  vanishes.  I  then  develop  a  Hausman  test  for  network  exogeneity  by  contrasting  OLS  and  IV  estimators.  Simulation  results  demonstrate  that  the  test  maintains  correct  size  and  delivers  strong  power.
■590    ▼aSchool  code:  0028.
■653    ▼aSocial  interactions
■653    ▼aNetwork  structure
■653    ▼aAsymptotic  normality
■690    ▼a0501
■690    ▼a0511
■71020▼aUniversity  of  California,  Berkeley▼bEconomics.
■7730  ▼tDissertations  Abstracts  International▼g87-01A.
■790    ▼a0028
■791    ▼aPh.D.
■792    ▼a2025
■793    ▼aEnglish
■85640▼uhttp://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T17357764▼nKERIS▼z이  자료의  원문은  한국교육학술정보원에서  제공합니다.

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